No rupee recovery in sight in Short Term
India’s trade data for January supports our view that imports would decline more than exports in early 2009. We expect the trade balance to continue to improve in coming months, but the rupee is unlikely to benefit unless portfolio outflows decelerate (i.e., market sentiment improves and global risk aversion abates). Oil imports (falling 47.5% YoY) … Read more No rupee recovery in sight in Short Term